Using Reverse Line Movement To Win

The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.

Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..

By: Manny G

To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB.

prosportsonline.net

Article Directory: http://www.articledashboard.com

College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units. Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.

The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook. The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.

The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line. RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares). Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.

So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction.

NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at. Keep in mind that NCAAB was the most liquid sport in terms of top-five sportbooks however, with not a single sportsbook making the top five both years. We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport. It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it. Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.

The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units. Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.. This is where an important word of caution is in order though. Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.

So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice. To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego. Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.

Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.

Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.

http://prosportsonline.net

So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won). However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6

Assessing The Value Of Your Sports Trading Cards

That in turn can help you plan your own baseline selling price next time.

(2) Monthly Magazines & Price Guides

(1) Ebay Auctions

Here are 3 simple and effective ways commonly used :

Suppose you’ve got a bigger budget, go for the $10 paperback or the $40-50 price guide. By doing a search on Google, you’ll be able to get a listing of all online card traders clubs and forums you can join and learn about such knowledge. Besides, it’s also gratifying to know a bunch of people who share the same interest as you, isn’t it?

If you’re more interested to know the “book value” for your cards, depending on the amount of money you want to spend and the depth of the details you want to know, there are avenues for you to check that as well..

Chances are, if you’ve been collecting sport trading cards for some time, one of the mind boggling questions that probably bugging you is this : how do you determine the value of your card collection? In other words, how much can you fetch for the stacks of baseball, football or wrestling trading cards lying in your cabinet?

Although most sports card collectors are usually fans of the game as well, some are actually into the card collecting hobby for the potential profit they may reap from the trading. While doing so, it’s vital to go by what buyers are offering instead of the price sellers are asking for. Both give you value estimates based on the production year of the sets from different different card companies with the latter covering on almost every set that are issued for all major sports.

Learn about daisy tree and daisy varieties at the Types Of Daisies site.

(3) Trading Card Clubs & Forums

By: Guillermo Summers

Last but not least, just go asking around. So, in case you don’t get the price that’s stated on the periodicals, don’t go back to your newstand vendor or book store and start asking for a refund!

For a start, you can check this via the monthly trading card magazines. But regardless of which option you choose, do bear in mind that such value estimates are highly subjected to the condition and maintenance of the cards concerned. Members are often able to give you quotes on the spot and who knows? You might even get a good offer for your card. The number of bids, depending on the base price set by the seller can also help you determine if the card you’re holding is “hot” or not. Such periodicals tabulate current book values of the most popular range of single cards and sets and can bought off newstands at about $4-5 per copy. 2 of the main magazines are Beckett and Tough Stuff.

A relatively fast way to know how much people are willing to pay for your particular card is to do a search on Ebay auctions. Therefore, it certainly doesn’t hurt to know the methods that you can use to assess this, even if you’ve no intention to sell off your collection now.

Article Directory: http://www.articledashboard.com

Even though both demand and supply has the same important part to play, looking at the buyers’ market is the fairer way to determine the current “market value”

Main Page – Handbook of Journalism

As a real-time, competitive news service whose reputation rests on reliability, we also value accuracy, speed and exclusivity. The way in which we, as Reuters employees, live these values is governed by the

Reuters Code of Conduct. What follows is an attempt to map out those principles, as guidance to taking decisions and adopting behaviours that are in the best interests of Reuters, our shareholders, our customers, our contacts, our readers and our profession.

The handbook, now in its second online edition and fully revised, is the work of no one individual. As journalists, however, we have additional responsibilities if we are to fulfil the highest aspirations of our profession – to search for and report the truth, fairly, honestly and unfailingly.

April 2008. The former liberate, and lead to better journalism. That code, with a few notable exceptions that apply specifically to journalists, governs the behaviour of all Reuters employees and is essential reading. It builds on the work of colleagues, too many to number over the past 150 years, whose commitment to the most ethical standards of our profession has made Reuters the outstanding news organisation it is today.

This page was last modified 12:31, 17 May 2016.

Introduction

Everything we do as Reuters journalists has to be independent, free from bias and executed with the utmost integrity.

This handbook is not intended as a collection of “rules.” Beyond the obvious, such as the cardinal sin of plagiarism, the dishonesty of fabrication or the immorality of bribe-taking, journalism is a profession that has to be governed by ethical guiding principles rather than by rigid rules. The latter constrain, and restrict our ability to operate. These are our core values and stem from the

Reuters Trust Principles. Dozens of journalists from text, television, pictures and from domestic as well as international services, have worked to bring it up to date